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Predictions! Bellator 254 Main Card Preview & Quick Picks
Bellator 254: “Macfarlane vs. Velasquez” comes to Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Conn., tomorrow evening (Thurs., Dec. 10, 2020), airing on CBS Sports Network. The Flyweight title is on the line as two undefeated fighters are about to square up.
Let’s break it down:
In a normal year, Ilima-Lei Macfarlane would have defended her crown at least once by now, but 2020 has been anything but a normal year. At least as we near its end we can see some semblance of normalcy with the return of “Ilimanator” in a title defense. With two knockout wins and six submissions on her flawless record, Macfarlane usually makes it look easy in the cage, but that’s only because she works so damn hard outside it. Her 10th Planet Jiu-Jitsu training makes her a monster on the ground, but her striking has steadily improved to the point that she split Veta Arteaga like a coconut at Bellator 220.
Ouch …
The undefeated Juliana Velasquez is one of the most worthy title challengers she’s faced. She’s durable in decisions (50 percent of her wins) but also devastating with strikes (40 percent) as seen when she massacred Kristina Williams. Her record may speak for itself, but the fact there’s no “O” next to her name speaks for the fact she hasn’t faced Macfarlane. “Ilimanator” lives up to the nickname by eliminating one contender after another to the point that it takes a year or so to build one up for her to mow down. At this point as good as Velasquez is she’s also the only who can face Macfarlane with a double digit record of experience.
Is the training from Team Nogueira and her formidable amount of experience enough for the 34-year-old Velasquez to knock off the 30-year-old Macfarlane? In a word — no. When we’ve seen Macfarlane truly be tested in a title fight we’ll have a reason to doubt her. Perhaps Velasquez will make history and be the first person to hand her a loss, but the one thing opponents always underestimate is Macfarlane’s tenacity and ferocity. She may be small at 5’5”, but her opponent is only 5’6,” so this fight will be right in her wheelhouse.
Final prediction: Ilima-Lei Macfarlane via first round submission
The across the board alliteration of their names may be strange, but these Bantamweights are no strangers to winning. Magomed Magomedov is a M-1 Challenge and ACB veteran bringing a three-fight win streak to the cage, with two of his last three being finished by guillotine choke. That’s the good news. The bad news is that he hasn’t fought since 2018. Will “ring rust” be a factor? Fortunately he’s only 28 years old so he hasn’t aged terribly with a couple of years off, but his opponent Matheus Mattos is also 28 and his only professional loss to date was to current UFC champion Petr Yan. He, too, has been sidelined for two years so it’s a bit of a toss up trying to figure out who really has the advantage here.
Final prediction: Matheus Mattos via split decision
After a three-fight losing streak nearly sent him packing, “The Swam” Linton Vassell made a big statement by knocking out Sergei Kharitonov in the main event of Bellator 234. There may yet by life in the former Light Heavyweight’s move up to a bigger class, one which I’ve said all along better suits his impressive 6’4” and 82-inch reach frame. His opponent, Ronny Markes, has been chomping at the bit for a fight though — twice expected to face Josh Barnett only to have that fight ultimately fall apart. Both have been sidelined for more than one year so they’re equally primed to come out and make a statement in this bout, but after his own mediocre PFL run my feeling is that Vassell has more upside going into 2021.
Final prediction: Linton Vassell via second round technical knockout
What was previously scheduled to be a Goiti Yamauchi vs. Nate Andrews bout for the main card fell apart when Goiti Yamauchi followed a “Platinum” weight cutting plan. What better solution than to turn to two fighters who aren’t worried about tipping the scales? In fact, “All Day” Davion Franklin came in right under the limit at 264 pounds, so if he was cutting weight he’d be absolutely gigantic in the cage. The Jackson-Wink prospect is saying all the right things about his maturation in their camp, but he can’t afford to take the more experienced Anthony Garrett lightly (pun intended). If the name seems familiar it’s because Garrett was brought in to face Jake Hager, but the fight ended in a very unfortunate “No Contest.” For the sake of his future children I hope this experience is more pleasant for him, but I still favor Franklin’s size, strength and training regimen going in.
Final prediction: Davion Franklin via first round knockout
That’s a wrap!
MMAmania.com will deliver coverage of Bellator 254 tomorrow evening on CBS Sports Network. To check out the latest Bellator MMA-related news and notes be sure to hit up our comprehensive news archive right here.
https://www.mmamania.com/2020/12/9/21539218/bellator-254-full-fight-predictions-preview-macfarlane-velasquez-cbs-sports-mma
Macfarlane vs. Velasquez | Magomedov vs. Mattos | Markes vs. Vassell | |
MMA Junkie readers’ consensus picks 2020: 150-93 | Macfarlane (70%) | Magomedov (85%) | Vassell (75%) |
Dan Tom @DanTomMMA 2020: 166-77 | Macfarlane | Magomedov | Vassell |
Danny Segura @dannyseguratv 2020: 162-81 | Macfarlane | Magomedov | Vassell |
Farah Hannoun @Farah_Hannoun 2020: 160-83 | Macfarlane | Magomedov | Vassell |
Simon Head @simonhead 2020: 158-85 2019 Champion* | Macfarlane | Magomedov | Vassell |
Nolan King @mma_kings 2020: 158-85 | Macfarlane | Magomedov | Vassell |
Mike Bohn @MikeBohnMMA 2020: 157-86 2014 Champion | Macfarlane | Magomedov | Vassell |
Brian Garcia @thegoze 2020: 155-88 2017 Champion | Macfarlane | Magomedov | Markes |
Simon Samano @SJSamano 2020: 153-90 | Velasquez | Magomedov | Vassell |
John Morgan @MMAjunkieJohn 2020: 152-91 | Macfarlane | Magomedov | Vassell |
Ken Hathaway @kenshathaway 2020: 152-91 2018 Champion | Velasquez | Magomedov | Markes |
George Garcia @MMAjunkieGeorge 2020: 152-91 | Macfarlane | Magomedov | Markes |
Dave Doyle @davedoylemma 2020: 152-91 | Macfarlane | Magomedov | Markes |
Abbey Subhan @kammakaze 2020: 148-95 | Macfarlane | Magomedov | Vassell |
Matt Erickson @MMAjunkieMatt 2020: 90-153 | Velasquez | Mattos | Markes |
Bellator returns this week with its unbeaten women’s flyweight champion atop the bill.
Bellator 254 takes place Thursday at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Conn. The main card airs on CBS Sports Network following prelims on MMA Junkie.
(Click here to open a PDF of the staff picks grid in a separate window.)
In the main event, women’s flyweight champion Ilima-Lei Macfarlane (11-0 MMA, 10-0 BMMA) puts her title and unbeaten record on the line against fellow undefeated challenger Juliana Velasquez (10-0 MMA, 5-0 BMMA). Velasquez actually is a slight favorite at BetMGM at -145, but it’s Macfarlane with a big 11-3 picks lead from our 14 editors, writers, videographers and radio hosts.
In the co-feature, Magomed Magomedov (16-1 MMA, 0-0 BMMA) makes his promotional debut at bantamweight against Matheus Mattos (12-1-1 MMA, 0-0 BMMA). Magomedov is a -350 favorite and has a near-unanimous lead in the picks at 13-1.
And to open the main card, Ronny Markes (19-7 MMA, 0-0 BMMA) makes his long-awaited Bellator debut against Linton Vassell (20-8 MMA, 8-5 BMMA) at heavyweight. Vassell is a 3-1 favorite, but he has just a slight lead in the picks at 8-6.
In the MMA Junkie reader consensus picks, Macfarlane (70 percent), Magomedov (85 percent) and Vassell (75 percent) are the choices.
Check out all the picks above.
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